Methodology: how we collect merits and estimate chances
Where the numbers come from
We use only official documents: university prospectuses, admission notices, admission regulations of the Pakistan Medical and Dental Council (PMDC), and merit lists published by universities or their admission portals. Each university's official website and the exact documents we used are listed on the data sources page, and every row in our tables links to its source.
We do not use figures from social media, coaching academies or other websites unless the same figure appears in an official document.
What "closing merit" means
Closing merit is the aggregate of the last student admitted to a program in a given merit list. If a program's final list closed at 81.83%, the last student who got a seat in that list had an aggregate of 81.83%.
For each figure we record the year, the merit list (1st, 2nd, 3rd or final), the quota or category (open merit, self-finance, reserved seats and so on), the campus and the shift. Unless a page says otherwise, we show the final list, open merit, main campus first, because that is the figure most students compare against.
How we collect and check data
- We download the official merit list or prospectus and note its URL and the date we checked it.
- We copy only the program-level closing figure. Student names, father's names and CNIC numbers are never stored.
- A second check compares every typed figure against the document. Figures are stored exactly as published and shown with two decimal places.
- The figure goes live with a link to its source and an "Updated" date on the page.
How the aggregate calculators work
Each calculator uses the weights from that university's official formula for the current admission year. For example, if a formula gives 50% weight to the entry test and 40% to FSc, your entry test marks are converted to a share of 50 points and your FSc marks to a share of 40 points, and the shares are added up. You can change the total marks if your board or system uses a different total.
Results are shown with two decimal places. Universities sometimes round differently (for example to four decimals), so your official aggregate can differ from ours by a few hundredths of a percent. The university's own calculation is always final.
How the chance labels work
The predictor compares your aggregate with a reference closing merit for each program: the higher of the last two years' closing aggregates in the final merit list, open merit. Using the higher of two years keeps the estimate on the cautious side.
| Label | Rule | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Strong | Your aggregate is more than 1.5 points above the reference | Students with your aggregate got this program in recent years. |
| Borderline | Within 1.5 points above or below the reference | It could go either way; apply, but keep backups. |
| Unlikely | More than 1.5 points below the reference | Recent closing merits were higher than your aggregate. |
Limits you should know
- Closing merits change every year with the number of seats, applicants and test difficulty. Past figures are a guide, not a promise.
- Reserved seats, self-finance and other quotas close at different aggregates. Check the category filter on each merit list.
- Earlier merit lists close higher than the final list. A "Borderline" result against the final list may mean you get in only in a later list.
Updates
During the admission season we add each new official merit list within 48 hours of its release. The "Updated" date on each page shows when its data last changed.
Updated